## Determining the impacts of volt/VAR optimization: a tale of two approaches

Link to original article at to Electric Light and Power Link

By **Jared Green** and **Jeff Roark**, EPRI, and **Jim Parks**, Sacramento Municipal Utility District

Volt/VAR optimization (VVO) is a process of optimally managing voltage levels and reactive power to achieve more efficient gird operation by reducing system losses, peak demand or energy consumption or a combination of the three. During the process, voltage control devices at a substation and on the circuit can be used to shrink the voltage drop from the substation to the end of the line and reduce the service voltage to customers while maintaining the voltage within defined limits. The efficiency gains are realized primarily from a reduction in the system voltage. This results in less energy being consumed by end-use equipment served by the distribution system.

The highlights of EPRI’s seven year Smart Grid Demonstration Initiative included VVO’s benefits. Most participating utilities deployed technologies to manage voltage levels and reactive power on their demonstration circuits. The volt/VAR management practices that included reducing supply voltage resulted in reduced peak demand or reduced energy consumption or both, as well as the traditional benefits of reduced system losses and increased real-power throughput from VAR management. On average, the statistical analyses deployed to estimate the impacts of VVO indicated that for each percent of voltage reduction energy consumption decreased 0.4 to 0.7 percent. Results varied by the type of circuit-residential, commercial or industrial loaded. The conservation voltage reduction factor (CVRf) was used to compare the results.

## Two Operational Approaches

Utilities typically implement Volt/VAR management practices to achieve reduction in either peak demand or energy consumption. The peak demand reduction approach is usually used to reduce load for short durations, typically for only a few hours during high-demand or high cost periods or both. The second approach, often referred to as conservation voltage reduction (CVR), is used to reduce energy consumption for extended periods. Sacramento Municipal Utility District (SMUD) conducted a year-long field demonstration on multiple substations to evaluate both approaches.

## VVO Evaluation

SMUD tested 14 substations during the field demonstration. Figure 1 illustrates a random-day voltage reduction test pattern that was established to determine the impacts of lowering the voltage by approximately 2 percent at the substation power transformer load-tap changer. The randomized pattern was implemented across the substations so that seven substations were at a normal voltage level while the other seven were at a reduced level. The VAR management philosophy was to continue operating the switched capacitor banks at both the feeder and the substation. This was done to achieve the traditional SMUD transmission VAR support objectives of minimizing system losses and supporting system voltage.

The evaluation data was one year’s worth of one minute, substation-level, SCADA load and voltage data. The data were averaged to obtain hourly observations. Data errors in the supplied dataset required an initial screening of the data to eliminate bad data values. In addition, abnormally low or high load values, indicative of circuit switching or outages, were excluded. The limited number and type of excluded observations had little to no effect on the statistical models used in the evaluation.

## Statistical Approaches

Two statistical models, an ordinary least squares (OLS) regression and a median regression model, were developed to determine the impacts of volt/VAR management for the two operational approaches. The challenge was to build a robust model that could tease out hourly impacts for infrequent, short-duration dispatches under substantial load variability while accurately determining the time-averaged impacts of a sustained, long-duration VVO implementation, commonly referred to as conservation voltage reduction.

The variability of the loads was accounted for in the statistical models by including variables for temperature and humidity, time-of-day, day-of-week, and other periodic effects, such as photo voltaic (PV) generation or episodic loads, and seasonal loads that occur infrequently. The weather variables included hourly cooling degree hours (CDH), heating degree hours (HDH) and temperature-humidity indices. The model also was designed to control for different load-pattern days, such as Mondays, Fridays, other weekdays, weekends and holidays.

## Results

The overall average CVRf from SMUD’s evaluation was approximately 0.6, meaning that for each 1 percent reduction in voltage, SMUD realized 0.6 percent reduction in energy/demand during the test period. For SMUD, this equaled an average weekday energy savings of approximately 1.3 to 1.5 MWh for each substation-enough energy to power approximately 40 homes.

The two statistical methods provided similar CVR impact estimates for the group of substations. The individual substation CVRf estimates, however, ranged from zero to 1.5 using OLS and 0.2 to 1.4 using median regression. Figure 2 shows the substation average CVR factors and the associated 90 percent confidence bounds for weekdays, based on the OLS estimates. The 90 percent confidence interval bounds for the CVR factor were +/- 0.2 points on average, but differed widely between the substations.

The estimated impacts for weekend days were generally less statistically significant than weekdays. This was due in part to the smaller sample size for weekend test days. The weekend average CVRf, however, was similar to the weekday average (0.5 using OLS and 0.6 using median regression). In addition, the 90 percent confidence interval increased to +/- 0.33 on average for weekends using the OLS estimates.

The average substation-level weekday impact estimates were generally statistically significant, but individual hourly impacts mostly were not. The hourly impact estimates, using both OLS and median regression, were more variable than the substation average estimates, as shown in Figure 3 for one of the substations. Only two of the 14 tested substations had statistically significant estimates for most hours of the day using the OLS method. Estimates for other tested substations were variably statistically significant.

Additional findings and lessons learned from the demonstration and statistical analyses were:

- Statistical models of weather sensitive and periodic loads explained a large fraction of the variation in load at the substation level in many cases. The models had difficulty estimating hourly impacts with any confidence.
- OLS estimation methods provided CVR impact estimates similar to those obtained with median regression.
- The OLS model estimated statistically significant average weekday energy savings resulting from CVR (averaged over all test hours) at 12 of the 14 tested substations. Median regression estimated statistically significant reductions at all 14 substations.
- Estimated CVR impacts were generally less statistically significant for weekend test hours than weekday test hours.
- Data quality problems, operational issues and episodic loads might affect the ability of the estimation method to tease out the CVR impacts.
- The analysis supports the potential of voltage reduction to reduce both energy consumption and peak demand.

## Costs and Benefits of VVO

The costs and benefits of VVO vary by type of operation. Installing voltage control and VAR management equipment and systems requires additional capital expenditures and O&M costs. These costs can be offset by deferring generation, transmission and distribution capital improvement projects, reducing fuel costs and emissions from reduced fossil-fired generation, and increasing affected feeders’ real-power throughput capabilities.

Figures 4 and 5 show the results of a basic cost-benefit analysis for one substation. For the purpose of this illustration, the main economic components are: cost (ownership revenue requirements) for the VVO systems, reduction in energy generation costs and capacity deferral (benefit). The only difference in the two analyses is that the year-round approach was enforced for all hours of the year and the peak-time approach operated only for a few hours a year. The results show that the savings from reduction in energy consumption move the net-present value (NPV) trend of the year-round approach to positive. For the peak-time approach, little energy consumption savings are realized and the capacity savings are not sufficient to overcome the initial and replacement costs of the VVO equipment over the 30-year project. Although the peak-time approach appears to be the less desirable option in this example, it might be a more attractive option under scenarios where VVO equipment installations are optimized for reducing peak demand and might be less costly than controlling voltage under other system conditions when implemented as a year-around option.

## Conclusion

Volt/VAR optimization results were a surprise to EPRI’s seven-year Smart Grid Demonstration Initiative team. The team found both VVO approaches can be extremely impactful for reducing peak demand and energy consumption. The costs and benefits vary greatly between these approaches, however, and must be studied by each utility to determine which approach is best. Given these outcomes, EPRI believes VVO is here to stay and it looks forward to continuing the research and development that can make VVO even more impactful in a wider variety of scenarios, including those that are part of EPRI’s forthcoming Integrated Grid Initiative pilot projects. For more information about EPRI’s Smart Grid Demonstration Initiative visit smartgrid.epri.com. For more information about EPRI’s Integrated Grid Initiative, visit integratedgrid.epri.com.

**Jared Green** is a senior technical leader at EPRI. He was a project manager for several smart grid demonstration projects.

**Jeff Roark** is a technical executive at EPRI. He developed cost/benefit analysis methods and performed cost/benefit analysis on a variety of smart grid demonstration projects.

**Jim Parks** is a program manager in the Energy R& D department at the Sacramento Municipal Utility District (SMUD). He just completed a $308 million smart grid initiative (SmartSacramento®) with more than 40 individual projects including smart meters, distribution automation and customer programs. He oversees SMUD’s energy efficiency and smart grid R&D initiatives.